Diva Vs. Real Analog

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pdxindy wrote:
ghettosynth wrote:
We were also talking about analog synths, and in recent years, at least the last 20, I'd say you could break even or do better more often than not. So comparing analog hardware today, and in the reasonable short term future, it's pretty safe to reason that it's going to hold value until you sell. If that's what is really important to someone, then they would be correct in arguing the position that hardware is a better value. You really can't object to this, it's simply true.
If you use that older analog synth every day for 5 years, what would be the expected maintenance cost? How likely is it on 20+ year old equipment for there to be some mechanical/electrical problems that come up from daily use? I didn't find any statistical data online, but I would be surprised if old equipment didn't have relatively frequent repair rate.
Gonga pretty much said it. There are analogs that are known trouble makers. Old Arps will have pot problems, Matrix 12/Xpanders will have encoder problems, Juno 106s/MKS-30s will have VCA problems with the potted modules, Korg Poly-6 will die if you don't replace the batter etc.

Then, there are others which are reliable as rocks. Most other rolands, many korgs, and many others may never see a shop. For me personally, it's a non-issue as I do any necessary repair myself and I always have. In fact, I try to buy broken synths, and even counting my time, I always do better on the sale. You can't do that with software at all.
Regarding new analog synths, a Little Phatty costs $1300 and I saw one used for sale on Ebay for $1000. So that person is losing $300 which already more than covers the total cost of Diva.
Nope. A little phatty streets for $1300, that's not what people pay. Well, it's not what I would pay. I saw several that had sold on ebay for around $1100, so condition is important here. If you take care of your synths, you'd be lucky to cover the cost of Diva and, of course, you have to have a recent computer to run Urs latest synths, so you have to count some portion of your computer maintenance budget in the cost of softsynths.

If you buy it used, you can most likely sell it for what you paid for it. This is certainly not always possible with software. You can't even buy some used. You can't buy DIVA used for about 9 months from now, right? And software is far more likely to lose value over time. How long has the basic MiniMoog and its derivatives been around? A new minimoog will not make the current ones worthless, or in fact, necessarily lose any value, as we saw with the release of the Voyager. This is not at all true with software. Technology moves forward and anything dependent on Moore's law is going to probably lose value over time.

The gap is much much smaller for the smaller synths that are currently so popular and, of course, if you go for vintage or some out of production models, you stand some chance of making money. See the Future Retro 777 or the Fenix modular for extreme examples.
It is my guess that if we had statistical evidence on hand, that you assertion would be incorrect except perhaps in the case of someone who buys a desired vintage synth and keeps it in storage solely as an investment.
There's very little difference between keeping it in storage and using it in your clean home studio. It's moving them and taking them out live that tends to cause them damage. Keyboards do sometimes wear over time, but this isn't really the problem that it used to be. Anecdotal I know, but my experience with many analog synths would, in the worst case, be an outlier. Statistical evidence won't change the minds of people who are good at buying and selling synths. It's fallacy to apply aggregated results to their individual experience.

Of course, none of this factors in the real value differences between hardware and software that may be very important to some people. You can't modify your software, you still need a keyboard to play it, if that's what you're into. There's never any hassle with mapping knobs to functions, that's done for you and it facilitates muscle memory. There is ineffable value there that manifests in how and how fast you work with the instrument. There's no software substitute at this point, the closest we get is with the ipad or with maping controllers/displays, and from my experience, that's not the same thing.

I'm all ITB these days, but it's been a recent change for me and if I were to play live again, I'm not sure that wouldn't go back to hardware. I can see, however, why some people think that hardware synths are a better financial and musical choice. I have a show in a few months and I'm thinking at this point that it's going to be all hardware. It's just more fun to do, and more fun to watch.
Last edited by ghettosynth on Wed Jan 25, 2012 4:45 am, edited 3 times in total.

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ghettosynth wrote:I can see why some people think that they're a better financial and musical choice.
You forgot that a major advantage of software over hardware.
Software uses no natural resources to make them.
We can not say the same for hardware, which actually uses a lot.
They use more electric than a laptop too.
Save the planet and all that.

It really doesn't matter in the end, as it's a "to each their own" kinda thing, and looking for reasons why, is sorta futile. As everyone will find their own reasons for whatever they prefer.

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Ghettosynth, I think your post was very honest and objective when considering that you work 100% ITB these days :)

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filter303 wrote:Ghettosynth, I think your post was very honest and objective when considering that you work 100% ITB these days :)
Well thanks, I addressed earlier why I do that. So I do think that there are many advantages to working ITB, but, I can see why others value hardware.

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mcnoone wrote:
ghettosynth wrote:I can see why some people think that they're a better financial and musical choice.
You forgot that a major advantage of software over hardware.
Software uses no natural resources to make them.
We can not say the same for hardware, which actually uses a lot.
They use more electric than a laptop too.
Save the planet and all that.
You're reaching. When we talk about advantages, we're really talking about advantages to the user. That's, at best, an indirect advantage. If you read my earlier post, however, you will see that I did address the actual advantage that is derived from what you're talking about and that is space in the studio. That's one of the reasons that I'm ITB these days. I'm not going to repeat myself, it's on page 52 or 53 or so.

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ghettosynth wrote:You're reaching. When we talk about advantages, we're really talking about advantages to the user.
Just joking really, but ya know the green is in thing and all. :hihi:
Either way, whatever works for you, I say.
If you got reasons to justify what you choose to do, or view things, then great.
We've all got different reasons to prefer softs over hardware, and vice-versa, but I always believe that money has more to do with it, than we can admit.

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ghettosynth wrote:
Regarding new analog synths, a Little Phatty costs $1300 and I saw one used for sale on Ebay for $1000. So that person is losing $300 which already more than covers the total cost of Diva.
Nope. A little phatty streets for $1300, that's not what people pay. Well, it's not what I would pay. I saw several that had sold on ebay for around $1100, so condition is important here.
The latest list price for the Little Phatty is $1475

Looking at average new price paid - $1350
Looking at average used price for same model - $1100

So $250 average loss...

I also talked to a couple friends and asked their experience. They both said that like me, over the years, they have lost more on analog hardware synths than they ever spent on software synths.

I agree with you there are certainly reasons to want/enjoy hardware. Tactile experience, no need for the computer, stage use... these are totally legitimate reasons, but I don't buy the financial argument. (nor do I think it makes sense to make it)

Cheers

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pdxindy wrote:
ghettosynth wrote:
Regarding new analog synths, a Little Phatty costs $1300 and I saw one used for sale on Ebay for $1000. So that person is losing $300 which already more than covers the total cost of Diva.
Nope. A little phatty streets for $1300, that's not what people pay. Well, it's not what I would pay. I saw several that had sold on ebay for around $1100, so condition is important here.
The latest list price for the Little Phatty is $1475
http://www.guitarcenter.com/Moog-Little ... =439932733

$1300 is what guitar center lists. I assure you, my guy will beat that price.
Looking at average new price paid - $1350
Looking at average used price for same model - $1100

So $250 average loss...
New to used, and I think that's high. Used to used, average loss, zero. I expect that it's close to that across the board. Not true with software at all. Keep it five years, software will be worthless, little phatty, about the same as it was five years ago.
but I don't buy the financial argument. (nor do I think it makes sense to make it)
I've spelled out several scenarios where it makes sense. It sounds like you and your friends don't make the right choices, maybe you just don't know enough to do so, maybe it's hard to make those choices without technical knowledge, I dont' know, but I don't think so. But the bottom line is, it doesn't matter. I never said that EVERYONE will win, I offered reasons why the point of view might work for some people. After all, irrespective of your success, I've certainly not lost any money on my analog hardware, and I know people who are far better at it than I am. I know of nobody who is successful in the same way with software, of any kind, let alone music software. I'll say it again, the statistical argument is not necessarily relevant to the individual.

Your five year old hardware synth will still sound more analog than even the latest software synth. So, we really can't look at the price of just one software synth can we? We pretty much need to buy a new one every few years to keep up and come closer and closer to the hardware synth. Your five year old software synth, today, sounds like shit. Diva's much much closer, so maybe we're at the point of diminishing returns. Time will tell.

Is DIVA always going to be the greatest thing since slice bread? Very unlikely, history tells us that. Competition will drive innovation and it will come from elsewhere. You'll have to keep buying new soft synths to keep getting closer to that elusive analog sound.

I know this is true personally. I have Reaktor, why buy Diva at all? Certainly from a purely functional perspective, and by that I mean basic synth function, there is nothing that Diva can do that I can't do with Reaktor. I can even get really close to the interface with only a little effort. But to get the sound of Diva in Reaktor, assuming it's possible, would require an insane amount of work and probably a CPU that doesn't exist. So, even though I have one of the most flexible softsynths possible, I still own other softsynths and I will probably continue to buy other softsynths.

I'm not convinced at all that people don't spend as much on softysnths as they once did on hardware synths. Not per synth, of course, but overall.

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ghettosynth wrote:
pdxindy wrote:
Looking at average new price paid - $1350
Looking at average used price for same model - $1100

So $250 average loss...
New to used, and I think that's high. Used to used, average loss, zero. I expect that it's close to that across the board. Not true with software at all. Keep it five years, software will be worthless, little phatty, about the same as it was five years ago.
I think you are more likely to get a higher price as the first owner than as the second. And if you are using the synth, you are putting wear on it. Mechanical parts have a life span. Nobody is going to pay as much for a 5 year old synth as a 3 month old one unless there is some unexpected shortage in supply which is unlikely. Only in hindsight now you know which old synths have retained their value. And of course, some percentage of buyers of used equipment will have to deal with unexpected failure. That is a statistical certainty.

ghettosynth wrote:
but I don't buy the financial argument. (nor do I think it makes sense to make it)
I've spelled out several scenarios where it makes sense. It sounds like you and your friends don't make the right choices, maybe you just don't know enough to do so, maybe it's hard to make those choices without technical knowledge, I dont' know, but I don't think so.

Your five year old hardware synth will still sound more analog than even the latest software synth. So, we really can't look at the price of just one software synth can we? We pretty much need to buy a new one every few years to keep up and come closer and closer to the hardware synth. Your five year old software synth, today, sounds like shit. Diva's much much closer, so maybe we're at the point of diminishing returns. Time will tell.

...

I'm not convinced at all that people don't spend as much on softysnths as they once did on hardware synths. Not per synth, of course, but overall.

Well, I cannot say I made wrong choices. I can say I made choices with music in mind, not financial return. I purchased an OB-8 (and the matching sequencer) new way back when and when I sold it, it sold for considerably less. That difference right there surpasses total cost of soft synths for me including a new one every few years and for years to come.

Regarding the 5 year old softsynth, I purchased Zebra 6 years ago (for $169), sounds even better today than it did when I bought it, it has no mechanical degradation, it has many more features with more to come and it has not cost me a single cent since. I could sell it for something like $130 though no way I would.

Anyway, my point is, I think the financial argument makes no sense and only weakens the hardware argument, not strengthens it. Analog hardware has some undeniable advantages.

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pdxindy wrote:
Well, I cannot say I made wrong choices. I can say I made choices with music in mind, not financial return. I purchased an OB-8 (and the matching sequencer) new way back when and when I sold it, it sold for considerably less. That difference right there surpasses total cost of soft synths for me including a new one every few years and for years to come.
Of course you lost money. When you bought the OB-8 new you were paying for 80s computers. They are every bit as subject to Moore's law. I am not at all suggesting that every purchase made new in the 80s would be a winner. If you bought a matrix 12 new back then you would lose significantly as well.

With new "analog" synths, however, the microprocessors are such a small part of the synth relative to the mechanics that newer synths will simply not add, nor lose that much in value.

You also were subject to a bit of bad luck. OB8s are simply not that interesting of a synth and don't fetch the good prices that more interesting synths do. The sequencer wasn't analog in any sense at all. No more so than your audio card is analog, so it's just a small computer, and nothing else. It will only be worth something to pure collectors.
Regarding the 5 year old softsynth, I purchased Zebra 6 years ago (for $169), sounds even better today than it did when I bought it, it has no mechanical degradation, it has many more features with more to come and it has not cost me a single cent since. I could sell it for something like $130 though no way I would.
Sure it has, you can't make the maintenance argument for synths and then not apply the same argument to your computer which is necessary to run your synth.
Anyway, my point is, I think the financial argument makes no sense and only weakens the hardware argument, not strengthens it. Analog hardware has some undeniable advantages.
I hear what you're saying, but you can't project your experience to everyone. It does work well for some people and I can see why people think that way.

BTW: If you had purchased Ultra Analog instead you wouldn't be singing the same tune. I think this is true for far more softsynths than for pure analog hardware synths. If you just bought Zebra and are happy with it, I think that you're lucky. You can't predict how well soft synths are going to improve. So it's pretty easy to make a mistake. Analog technology hasn't changed much fundamentally since the 70s, so it's very easy to determine what will continue to sound good over time.

Moreover, you may be atypical, I haven't heard Zebra recently, but I didn't think that it stands out like Diva/ACE do when I demo'd it. So perhaps you are simply less picky than many analog folks.

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ghettosynth wrote:
Anyway, my point is, I think the financial argument makes no sense and only weakens the hardware argument, not strengthens it. Analog hardware has some undeniable advantages.
I hear what you're saying, but you can't project your experience to everyone. It does work well for some people and I can see why people think that way.

You are the one projecting your experience cause you are the one making a general claim of a financial advantage for analog hardware. I am not making a claim, but rather refuting yours so my anecdotal evidence is one example where your claim does not hold.

Anyway, I don't care about the cash and would rather talk about the sound ;) I don't think Zebra particularly replicates an analog sound like Diva, but it does have a vast sonic landscape and makes sounds I love to play and listen to.

http://draigathar.org/sounds/Zebra3.mp3

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I think your memory serves you well ghettosynth.
I actually did play with the Zebra demo today. Diva sounds much better than Zebra TBH. Diva is certainly more to my taste than zebra.

I've owned and sold a lot of synths during the last 10 years.
It's certainly true that if you buy used stuff you can sell it for the same price you bought it for, sometimes even for a little profit. But this really depends on what product we are talking about here.
I have personally noticed that people are generally more interested in buying affordable "classic" synths than new analogs. Especially if it's some boutique stuff.

I had a Matrix 6R which I sold for the same price that I bought it for. I think my add was on internet for a few hours when the buyer contacted me.
I also had the more rare (and IMO more desired) boutique synth FR-777 for sale , and it took months to sell it. Only one guy was interested of my FR-777. Needless to say that I had to drop the price to get rid of it. Some of the stuff I have tried to sell are still collecting dust on my homestudio because nobody wants it unless they can get it for almost free or something.

I think that people who are looking at hardware synths as an investment are looking it the wrong way. It's better to have it because you like how it sounds and it inspires you. Everything in this life decays at some point...

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mcnoone wrote: Software uses no natural resources to make them.
No, but Jolt™, pizza and other unnatural resources are often consumed in software production.

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filter303 wrote: It's certainly true that if you buy used stuff you can sell it for the same price you bought it for, sometimes even for a little profit.
and
filter303 wrote: I also had the more rare (and IMO more desired) boutique synth FR-777 for sale , and it took months to sell it. Only one guy was interested of my FR-777. Needless to say that I had to drop the price to get rid of it. Some of the stuff I have tried to sell are still collecting dust on my homestudio because nobody wants it unless they can get it for almost free or something.


:hihi: :hihi: :hihi:

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'Are analog synths a good investment?'

Interesting question.

1.) Repair record-an unnamed genius friend of mine who has toured big in a support capacity works on all synths-he says the single biggest issue he deals with are DIY owners or so-called: 'repairmen' that clusterf*ck a synth instead of properly repairing it.

2.) Simpler is better: I wouldn't touch a Yamaha CS-80 because of it's inherent design flaws that have become toxic 30 years later. 'Cost of ownership (and buyership) can be excrutiating tangibles in the used analog synth market.

3.) Parts availability: Yes or no?

4.) Was it toured? Turns equipment into junk (especially in the olden days-some of us here @ KVR know this) There are exceptions; which does NOT include Mellotrons!

My conclusion is that to pursue it may or may not be a waste of money, depending on how savy of a buyer you are, and how resourceful you are.

If you can score a working minimoog from the 70's for $300, that's a safe investment. I got an Oberheim FVS-1 from a speaker trade through a music store that I later sold for $3700-lucky investment; but hated to sell (paid bills).

A lot of popular ARP stuff was built pretty cheap. A lot of MOOG stuff was complex (ex: Polymoog; Memorymoog). Yamaha was pretty good; but pricey, and they messed up sometimes. Oberheim: Good and bad. SCI: Same as Obie.

I personally wouldn't invest money in any synth purely as an investment unless it was a screaming deal; even then you run the risk of an older synth being a hornets' nest full of surprises/problems.

All it takes is one critical/rare part being out of commission-no: I wouldn't do it.

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