Adboe was much more of a standard, and in several different areas across publishing...
For anything music I doubt there can be any lockout - there are two many competing options.
I could see several providers providing a reasonably compelling offering at the right price. And some things like Splice seem to have already grabbed some market share in their sample content area. So it may happen to an extent.
I could certainly see 'rental' to someome starting out being quite a good option if they can get a DAW, instruments and fx i.e. a full set ofd production tools at a reasonable monthly rate.
I don't see it ever being much of an option for people who've already spent time and money creating a setup that works for them.
